What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Senegal

(xG) 0.67 - 0.83

Ethiopia

Mathematical Predictions: Senegal vs Ethiopia

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5

Probability 80.88% Pending

MATCH RESULT

Draw

Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Senegal Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Senegal
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
No historical records found.

Ethiopia Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Ethiopia
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
No historical records found.

Senegal vs Ethiopia

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis

World Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

2027-03-28T20:00:00

TBA

In their previous 1 head-to-head matches, Senegal scored an average of 1.00 goals per match, compared to Ethiopia 0.00 goals.

Over their last 10 matches, Senegal scored an average of 0.00 and conceded 0.00, whereas Ethiopia scored 1.50 and conceded 0.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Senegal vs Ethiopia match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 0.67 for Senegal and 0.83 for Ethiopia. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 80.88%.

H2H - Senegal vs. Ethiopia

28 Mar 27

Senegal

(HT -)

Ethiopia

29 Sep 26

Ethiopia

0 - 1

(HT 0-1)

Senegal

Team Form (Last 6)

Senegal

16 Jun @ France 3-1

23 Jun @ Norway 3-2

26 Jun vs Iraq 5-0

01 Jul @ Belgium 2-2

25 Sep @ Mozambique 1-1

29 Sep @ Ethiopia 0-1

Ethiopia

27 Mar @ Sao Tome and Principe 0-3

31 Mar vs Sao Tome and Principe 1-0

06 Jun vs Malawi 1-0

09 Jun vs Malawi 1-1

25 Sep @ Sudan 1-0

29 Sep vs Senegal 0-1

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.